Climate change projections

Climate Projections Guide for South Australia

The Guide to Climate Projections for Risk Assessment and Planning in South Australia provides a summary of the changes in climate that are projected to occur in SA over the coming 80 years, drawing on information from a range of sources, primarily the CSIRO, BoM, IPCC and the Goyder Institute for Water Research.

Further information on climate projections for South Australia is also provided by the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology and the Goyder Institute for Water Research as outlined below.

Climate Projections from the CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology

The CSIRO, in collaboration with the Bureau of Meteorology, released climate projections for Australian regions in 2015. These projections can be found on the Climate Change in Australia website.

The projections describe likely changes in key variables for Australian regions, including temperature and rainfall averages and extremes, heatwaves, fire weather, cyclones, average and extreme sea level rise and ocean acidification. Other variables include wind, soil moisture, runoff, evapotranspiration, humidity and solar radiation.

Climate projections are provided for South Australia’s eight natural resource management (NRM) regions. These eight regions fall into three ‘clusters’:

  1. Rangelands 
  2. Southern and South Western Flatlands
  3. Murray Basin

Climate Projections from the Goyder Institute for Water Research

The Goyder Institute for Water Research, as part of the SA Climate Ready Project, released the most comprehensive set of downscaled climate projections data ever available in South Australia in 2015. This data complements the national scale projections produced by the CSIRO and the Bureau of Meteorology.

Data is available for six climate variables: rainfall, temperature maximum, temperature minimum, areal potential evapotranspiration, solar radiation, and vapour pressure deficit.

The projections data is aligned to the South Australian NRM regions. These projections, including regional summary reports, can be found on the Enviro Data SA website.

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